League One odds

Wigan Athletic are 21st in League One with 11 points from 14 games, and come into this struggling for results, with 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5. Barnsley are 23rd on 9 points and on a poor run (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Wigan Athletic score 1.0 and concede 1.4 a game. On the road, Barnsley score 1.0 and concede 1.8. They average 3.1 and 4.8 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 17 March 2026, finishing Barnsley 1–1 Wigan.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.4 goals to 1.2, with both teams scoring 53% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Wigan Athletic 40%, the draw 27%, Barnsley 33%, and over 2.5 goals 55%.

Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Under 2.5 goals at 5/4 against our 6/5.

Full page for Wigan Athletic v Barnsley

Wimbledon are 18th in League One with 13 points from 13 games, and come into this on a poor run, with 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5. Blackpool are 19th on 12 points and struggling for results (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Wimbledon score 0.5 and concede 0.7 a game. On the road, Blackpool score 0.8 and concede 1.7. They average 2.7 and 4.4 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 11 March 2026, finishing AFC Wimbledon 4–1 Blackpool.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.0 goals to 0.8, with both teams scoring 35% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Wimbledon 37%, the draw 30%, Blackpool 33%, and over 2.5 goals 42%.

Where we see value: Under 2.5 goals. We make the fair price 8/11, and William Hill offer 10/11, about 13% above our number. Value bets still lose often; it's about the price over many bets, not this one result.

Full page for Wimbledon v Blackpool

Leicester City are 10th in League One with 19 points from 13 games, and come into this in good form, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Bradford City are 7th on 22 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Leicester City score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game. On the road, Bradford City score 0.6 and concede 0.4. They average 5.5 and 3.2 shots on target a game respectively.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 0.9 goals to 1.0, with both teams scoring 39% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Leicester City 30%, the draw 33%, Bradford City 37%, and over 2.5 goals 31%.

Full page for Leicester City v Bradford City

Bromley FC are 24th in League One with 9 points from 13 games, and come into this on a poor run, with 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5. Notts County are 17th on 14 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Bromley FC score 0.7 and concede 2.3 a game. On the road, Notts County score 1.0 and concede 1.3. They average 3.2 and 3.3 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 14 February 2026, finishing Bromley 1–1 Notts County.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.0 goals to 1.6, with both teams scoring 51% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Bromley FC 22%, the draw 26%, Notts County 52%, and over 2.5 goals 49%.

Full page for Bromley FC v Notts County

Milton Keynes Dons are 12th in League One with 18 points from 13 games, and come into this in excellent form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Burton Albion are 15th on 17 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Milton Keynes Dons score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game. On the road, Burton Albion score 0.9 and concede 1.6. They average 4.1 and 3.6 shots on target a game respectively.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.9 goals to 1.1, with both teams scoring 58% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Milton Keynes Dons 56%, the draw 23%, Burton Albion 21%, and over 2.5 goals 58%.

Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Burton Albion to win at 7/2 against our 4/1.

Full page for Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion

Luton are 4th in League One with 24 points from 14 games, and come into this in excellent form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5. Cambridge United are 8th on 21 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Luton score 1.7 and concede 1.0 a game. On the road, Cambridge United score 1.3 and concede 1.4. They average 5.1 and 4.9 shots on target a game respectively.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.6 goals to 1.1, with both teams scoring 54% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Luton 47%, the draw 27%, Cambridge United 26%, and over 2.5 goals 51%.

Full page for Luton v Cambridge United

Doncaster Rovers are 20th in League One with 12 points from 13 games, and come into this on a poor run, with 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5. Leyton Orient are 14th on 17 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Doncaster Rovers score 1.0 and concede 1.0 a game. On the road, Leyton Orient score 1.5 and concede 0.7. They average 3.5 and 4.0 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 27 January 2026, finishing Doncaster 3–0 Leyton Orient.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 0.9 goals to 1.2, with both teams scoring 42% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Doncaster Rovers 34%, the draw 29%, Leyton Orient 37%, and over 2.5 goals 35%.

Where we see value: Leyton Orient to win. We make the fair price 13/8, and Coral offer 2/1, about 12% above our number. Value bets still lose often; it's about the price over many bets, not this one result.

Full page for Doncaster Rovers v Leyton Orient

Wycombe Wanderers are 13th in League One with 18 points from 13 games, and come into this in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Huddersfield Town are 1st on 29 points and in excellent form (4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Wycombe Wanderers score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game. On the road, Huddersfield Town score 1.7 and concede 0.7. They average 4.8 and 6.2 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 11 April 2026, finishing Huddersfield 3–3 Wycombe.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.1 goals to 1.8, with both teams scoring 58% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Wycombe Wanderers 27%, the draw 26%, Huddersfield Town 47%, and over 2.5 goals 57%.

Where we see value: Huddersfield Town to win. We make the fair price 11/10, and Coral offer 5/4, about 5% above our number. Value bets still lose often; it's about the price over many bets, not this one result.

Full page for Wycombe Wanderers v Huddersfield Town

Stevenage are 16th in League One with 16 points from 12 games, and come into this in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5. Mansfield Town are 11th on 19 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Stevenage score 1.5 and concede 1.0 a game. On the road, Mansfield Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6. They average 3.9 and 4.2 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 24 January 2026, finishing Stevenage 1–1 Mansfield.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.5 goals to 1.2, with both teams scoring 56% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Stevenage 41%, the draw 28%, Mansfield Town 31%, and over 2.5 goals 52%.

Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Stevenage to win at 6/4 against our 6/4.

Full page for Stevenage v Mansfield Town

Sheffield Wednesday are 9th in League One with 20 points from 13 games, and come into this in mixed form, with 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5. Plymouth Argyle are 5th on 23 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Sheffield Wednesday score 2.0 and concede 0.7 a game. On the road, Plymouth Argyle score 1.9 and concede 1.7. They average 5.7 and 4.6 shots on target a game respectively.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.9 goals to 1.2, with both teams scoring 60% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Sheffield Wednesday 46%, the draw 25%, Plymouth Argyle 29%, and over 2.5 goals 60%.

Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Sheffield Wednesday to win at 5/4 against our 6/5.

Full page for Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle

Stockport County FC are 2nd in League One with 26 points from 14 games, and come into this in good form, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Reading are 6th on 22 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).

At home, Stockport County FC score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game. On the road, Reading score 1.1 and concede 1.1. They average 4.9 and 4.9 shots on target a game respectively.

They last met on 4 January 2026, finishing Reading 1–0 Stockport.

On this season's goals, our model expects about 1.7 goals to 1.2, with both teams scoring 58% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Stockport County FC 49%, the draw 25%, Reading 26%, and over 2.5 goals 57%.

Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Reading to win at 11/4 against our 3/1.

Full page for Stockport County FC v Reading