| Bookmaker | Luton | Draw | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet 106.7% | 8/11 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Virgin Bet 110.2% | 4/6 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| Grosvenor Sport 110.2% | 4/6 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| Best price | 8/11 LiveScore Bet | 3/1 LiveScore Bet | 7/2 LiveScore Bet |
| Our fair price | 5/654% chance | 3/125% chance | 7/222% chance |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor Sport 107.3% | 8/13 | 5/4 |
| Best price | 8/13 Grosvenor Sport | 5/4 Grosvenor Sport |
| Our fair price | 4/556% chance | 5/444% chance |
We expect about 13.0 corners: Luton 6.9, Cambridge 6.1.
Our fair price for over 12.5 corners is 10/11 (53%) and under 12.5 is 11/10 (47%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Luton are 4th in League One with 24 points from 14 games, and come into this in excellent form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5. Cambridge United are 8th on 21 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Luton score 1.7 and concede 1.0 a game. On the road, Cambridge United score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
On expected goals, Luton create 1.62 and allow 1.11 a game; Cambridge United create 1.30 and allow 1.54. Luton are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last. Cambridge United are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last.
Our model expects about 1.7 goals to 1.0, with both teams scoring 54% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Luton 54%, the draw 25%, Cambridge United 22%, and over 2.5 goals 56%.
For corners, we expect around 13.0 in total: Luton about 6.9 and Cambridge United about 6.1.
Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Under 2.5 goals at 5/4 against our 5/4.