| Bookmaker | Leicester | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet 106.8% | Evs | 13/5 | 12/5 |
| Virgin Bet 110.9% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 9/4 |
| Grosvenor Sport 111.2% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 9/4 |
| Best price | Evs LiveScore Bet | 13/5 LiveScore Bet | 12/5 LiveScore Bet |
| Our fair price | 5/444% chance | 13/528% chance | 5/229% chance |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor Sport 107.6% | 8/13 | 6/5 |
| Best price | 8/13 Grosvenor Sport | 6/5 Grosvenor Sport |
| Our fair price | Evs50% chance | Evs50% chanceValue +10% |
We expect about 14.1 corners: Leicester 7.9, Bradford 6.2.
Our fair price for over 14.5 corners is 5/4 (44%) and under 14.5 is 4/5 (56%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Leicester City are 10th in League One with 19 points from 13 games, and come into this in good form, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Bradford City are 7th on 22 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Leicester City score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game. On the road, Bradford City score 0.6 and concede 0.4.
On expected goals, Leicester City create 1.70 and allow 1.26 a game; Bradford City create 1.11 and allow 0.96. Bradford City are creating more than they're scoring, so their goals could pick up.
Our model expects about 1.2 goals to 1.0, with both teams scoring 46% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Leicester City 44%, the draw 28%, Bradford City 29%, and over 2.5 goals 50%.
For corners, we expect around 14.1 in total: Leicester City about 7.9 and Bradford City about 6.2.
Where we see value: Under 2.5 goals. We make the fair price Evs, and Grosvenor Sport offer 6/5, about 10% above our number. Value bets still lose often; it's about the price over many bets, not this one result.