| Bookmaker | Milton Keynes | Draw | Burton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coral 106.6% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Ladbrokes 106.6% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Betfair Sportsbook 106.6% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Unibet 107.1% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Paddy Power 107.1% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| Betway 107.8% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 7/2 |
| William Hill 107.9% | 4/6 | 11/4 | 7/2 |
| 888sport 108.3% | 4/6 | 11/4 | 7/2 |
| LeoVegas 109.0% | 8/13 | 3/1 | 10/3 |
| Sky Bet 108.6% | 4/6 | 3/1 | 10/3 |
| Betfred 108.8% | 4/6 | 11/4 | 7/2 |
| LiveScore Bet 109.7% | 8/13 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| Virgin Bet 110.3% | 8/13 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| Grosvenor Sport 110.3% | 8/13 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| BoyleSports 111.1% | 8/13 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| Casumo 111.5% | 8/13 | 11/4 | 10/3 |
| BetVictor 112.5% | 8/13 | 3/1 | 3/1 |
| Best price | 4/6 Unibet | 3/1 Unibet | 7/2 Coral |
| Our fair price | 5/654% chance | 16/524% chance | 7/222% chance |
| Exchange | Milton Keynes | Draw | Burton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets 2% comm. | 4/61.66 after comm. · lay 1.71 | 3/13.94 after comm. · lay 4.50 | 4/15.02 after comm. · lay 5.60Beats best bookie |
| Matchbook 2% comm. | 4/61.68 after comm. · lay 1.85Beats best bookie | 3/14.04 after comm. · lay 4.50Beats best bookie | 4/14.82 after comm. · lay 5.50Beats best bookie |
| Betfair ExchangePrice only 5% comm. | 4/61.65 after comm. · lay 1.71 | 3/13.94 after comm. · lay 4.50 | 4/14.80 after comm. · lay 5.60Beats best bookie |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill 107.2% | 8/13 | 6/5 |
| Grosvenor Sport 107.5% | 8/13 | 11/10 |
| LeoVegas 108.9% | 8/13 | 11/10 |
| Best price | 8/13 Grosvenor Sport | 6/5 William Hill |
| Our fair price | 4/556% chance | 5/444% chance |
| Exchange | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Matchbook 2% comm. | 8/111.69 after comm.Beats best bookie | 6/52.20 after comm. |
We expect about 9.9 corners: Milton Keynes 4.4, Burton 5.5.
Our fair price for over 9.5 corners is 10/11 (53%) and under 9.5 is 11/10 (47%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Milton Keynes Dons are 12th in League One with 18 points from 13 games, and come into this in excellent form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Burton Albion are 15th on 17 points and in mixed form (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Milton Keynes Dons score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game. On the road, Burton Albion score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
On expected goals, Milton Keynes Dons create 1.66 and allow 1.45 a game; Burton Albion create 0.88 and allow 1.50. Burton Albion are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last.
Our model expects about 1.8 goals to 1.1, with both teams scoring 57% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Milton Keynes Dons 54%, the draw 24%, Burton Albion 22%, and over 2.5 goals 56%.
For corners, we expect around 9.9 in total: Milton Keynes Dons about 4.4 and Burton Albion about 5.5.
Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Burton Albion to win at 7/2 against our 7/2.