| Bookmaker · book % | Fleetwood | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coral 105.4% | 10/11 | 13/5 | 11/4 |
| Ladbrokes 106.8% | 10/11 | 13/5 | 11/4 |
| Unibet 106.9% | Evs | 5/2 | 13/5 |
| Paddy Power 107.6% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 13/5 |
| Virgin Bet 106.8% | 21/20 | 5/2 | 12/5 |
| Betway 108.4% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 5/2 |
| Betfred 108.4% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 5/2 |
| LeoVegas 108.8% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 5/2 |
| Sky Bet 109.3% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| Casumo 109.3% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| William Hill 109.4% | 10/11 | 9/4 | 13/5 |
| 888sport 109.4% | 10/11 | 9/4 | 13/5 |
| BoyleSports 111.2% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 12/5 |
| LiveScore Bet 111.4% | Evs | 12/5 | 9/4 |
| Grosvenor Sport 111.4% | Evs | 12/5 | 9/4 |
| BetVictor 113.8% | 5/6 | 12/5 | 9/4 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | |||
| Smarkets 2% comm. | Evsback 2.04 · lay 2.18 | 5/2back 3.55 · lay 3.90 | 13/5back 3.65 · lay 4.00 |
| Matchbook 2% comm. | Evsback 1.98 · lay 2.18 | 5/2back 3.50 · lay 4.30 | 13/5back 3.65 · lay 4.40 |
| Betfair ExchangePrice only 5% comm. | Evsback 2.06 · lay 2.18 | 5/2back 3.60 · lay 3.90 | 13/5back 3.70 · lay 4.00 |
| Best price | 21/20 Virgin Bet | 13/5 Coral | 11/4 Coral |
| Our fair price | 11/1048% chanceValue +0% | 13/528% chanceValue +0% | 3/125% chanceValue +0% |
| Bookmaker · book % | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor Sport 107.9% | 8/11 | Evs |
| William Hill 108.4% | 8/11 | 10/11 |
| LeoVegas 109.2% | 8/11 | 10/11 |
| Casumo 109.5% | 8/11 | 10/11 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | ||
| Matchbook 2% comm. | 5/6back 1.86 | 10/11back 1.97 |
| Best price | 8/11 William Hill | Evs Grosvenor Sport |
| Our fair price | 11/1047% chanceValue +0% | 10/1153% chanceValue +5% |
We expect about 10.8 corners: Fleetwood 6.6, Tranmere 4.3.
Our fair price for over 10.5 corners is 10/11 (52%) and under 10.5 is 21/20 (48%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Fleetwood Town are 16th in League Two with 17 points from 14 games, and come into this in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5. Tranmere Rovers are 11th on 19 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game. On the road, Tranmere Rovers score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
On expected goals, Fleetwood Town create 1.24 and allow 1.40 a game; Tranmere Rovers create 1.12 and allow 1.39. Tranmere Rovers are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last.
They last met on 14 March 2026, finishing Fleetwood Town 0–0 Tranmere.
Our model expects about 1.4 goals to 0.8, with both teams scoring 43% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Fleetwood Town 48%, the draw 28%, Tranmere Rovers 25%, and over 2.5 goals 47%.
For corners, we expect around 10.8 in total: Fleetwood Town about 6.6 and Tranmere Rovers about 4.3.
Where we see value: Under 2.5 goals. We make the fair price 10/11, and Grosvenor Sport offer Evs, about 5% above our number. Value bets still lose often; it's about the price over many bets, not this one result.