| Bookmaker · book % | Exeter | Draw | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook 105.8% | 10/11 | 13/5 | 3/1 |
| Unibet 106.6% | 10/11 | 13/5 | 3/1 |
| Coral 106.2% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 11/4 |
| Ladbrokes 106.2% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 11/4 |
| Betway 106.8% | 10/11 | 13/5 | 11/4 |
| Paddy Power 107.2% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 11/4 |
| Virgin Bet 108.2% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 11/4 |
| Sky Bet 108.4% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 11/4 |
| Betfred 108.7% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 11/4 |
| William Hill 108.3% | 10/11 | 9/4 | 11/4 |
| LeoVegas 109.0% | 10/11 | 5/2 | 13/5 |
| 888sport 108.6% | 10/11 | 9/4 | 11/4 |
| Casumo 109.5% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 13/5 |
| BoyleSports 110.7% | 5/6 | 12/5 | 13/5 |
| BetVictor 111.8% | 5/6 | 5/2 | 5/2 |
| Grosvenor Sport 112.2% | 5/6 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| LiveScore Bet 112.7% | 5/6 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | |||
| Smarkets 2% comm. | 10/11back 1.93 · lay 1.99 | 5/2back 3.60 · lay 3.85 | 3/1back 4.10 · lay 4.70 |
| Matchbook 2% comm. | 5/6back 1.86 · lay 2.02 | 5/2back 3.55 · lay 4.10 | 16/5back 4.20 · lay 5.10 |
| Betfair ExchangePrice only 5% comm. | 10/11back 1.94 · lay 1.99 | 5/2back 3.65 · lay 3.85 | 16/5back 4.30 · lay 4.70 |
| Best price | 10/11 Coral | 13/5 Unibet | 3/1 Unibet |
| Our fair price | Evs51% chanceValue +0% | 11/427% chanceValue +0% | 7/222% chanceValue +0% |
| Bookmaker · book % | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor Sport 107.7% | 4/5 | 10/11 |
| William Hill 107.9% | 10/11 | 4/5 |
| LeoVegas 109.1% | 10/11 | 4/5 |
| Casumo 109.5% | 10/11 | 8/11 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | ||
| Matchbook 2% comm. | Evsback 1.98 | 5/6back 1.87 |
| Best price | 10/11 William Hill | 10/11 Grosvenor Sport |
| Our fair price | 6/546% chanceValue +0% | 5/654% chanceValue +0% |
We expect about 9.3 corners: Exeter 5.2, Cheltenham 4.1.
Our fair price for over 9.5 corners is 5/4 (45%) and under 9.5 is 4/5 (55%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Exeter City are 12th in League Two with 19 points from 14 games, and come into this in good form, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5. Cheltenham Town are 5th on 21 points and struggling for results (2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Exeter City score 1.1 and concede 0.3 a game. On the road, Cheltenham Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
On expected goals, Exeter City create 1.08 and allow 1.11 a game; Cheltenham Town create 1.07 and allow 1.61. Exeter City are creating more than they're scoring, so their goals could pick up. Cheltenham Town are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last.
Our model expects about 1.5 goals to 0.8, with both teams scoring 44% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Exeter City 51%, the draw 27%, Cheltenham Town 22%, and over 2.5 goals 46%.
For corners, we expect around 9.3 in total: Exeter City about 5.2 and Cheltenham Town about 4.1.
Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Under 2.5 goals at 10/11 against our 5/6.