| Bookmaker · book % | Crewe | Draw | Newport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coral 105.6% | 11/10 | 5/2 | 12/5 |
| Virgin Bet 107.4% | Evs | 5/2 | 13/5 |
| Ladbrokes 106.5% | 11/10 | 5/2 | 9/4 |
| Unibet 106.4% | 11/10 | 12/5 | 12/5 |
| Betfair Sportsbook 106.4% | 11/10 | 12/5 | 12/5 |
| Paddy Power 107.6% | 21/20 | 12/5 | 12/5 |
| Betway 108.5% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 12/5 |
| William Hill 108.5% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 12/5 |
| Betfred 108.2% | 11/10 | 9/4 | 9/4 |
| Casumo 109.0% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 12/5 |
| Grosvenor Sport 110.9% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| Sky Bet 109.4% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 9/4 |
| LeoVegas 109.7% | Evs | 12/5 | 9/4 |
| BoyleSports 109.4% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 12/5 |
| 888sport 109.9% | 21/20 | 9/4 | 9/4 |
| LiveScore Bet 111.7% | 10/11 | 12/5 | 5/2 |
| BetVictor 114.1% | Evs | 9/4 | 2/1 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | |||
| Smarkets 2% comm. | 11/10back 2.16 · lay 2.30 | 9/4back 3.30 · lay 3.60 | 9/4back 3.35 · lay 3.75 |
| Matchbook 2% comm. | 11/10back 2.14 · lay 2.36 | 9/4back 3.30 · lay 3.80 | 12/5back 3.40 · lay 3.85 |
| Betfair ExchangePrice only 5% comm. | 6/5back 2.24 · lay 2.30 | 9/4back 3.35 · lay 3.60 | 9/4back 3.40 · lay 3.65 |
| Best price | 11/10 Unibet | 5/2 Coral | 13/5 Virgin Bet |
| Our fair price | 6/545% chanceValue +0% | 13/528% chanceValue +0% | 13/527% chanceValue +0% |
| Bookmaker · book % | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill 107.0% | 10/11 | 5/6 |
| Grosvenor Sport 107.7% | 4/5 | 10/11 |
| Casumo 109.5% | 10/11 | 8/11 |
| LeoVegas 109.3% | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| Exchanges · price after commission not counted in best price | ||
| Matchbook 2% comm. | Evsback 2.00 | 5/6back 1.84 |
| Best price | 10/11 William Hill | 10/11 Grosvenor Sport |
| Our fair price | 11/1048% chanceValue +0% | 10/1152% chanceValue +0% |
We expect about 8.6 corners: Crewe 4.7, Newport 3.9.
Our fair price for over 8.5 corners is 21/20 (49%) and under 8.5 is Evs (51%).
Bookmaker corners prices are checked once, the day before kick-off, and will appear here.
Match preview
Crewe Alexandra are 4th in League Two with 22 points from 14 games, and come into this in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5. Newport County are 14th on 18 points and in mixed form (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in their last 5).
At home, Crewe Alexandra score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game. On the road, Newport County score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
On expected goals, Crewe Alexandra create 1.07 and allow 1.26 a game; Newport County create 1.10 and allow 1.20. Newport County are scoring more than their chances suggest, which tends not to last.
They last met on 29 December 2025, finishing Newport County 2–0 Crewe.
Our model expects about 1.4 goals to 1.1, with both teams scoring 51% of the time. Weighing that against the bookmakers' own prices, our fair chances are Crewe Alexandra 45%, the draw 28%, Newport County 27%, and over 2.5 goals 48%.
For corners, we expect around 8.6 in total: Crewe Alexandra about 4.7 and Newport County about 3.9.
Our view: the best prices are close to our fair odds, so we don't see standout value. The nearest is Under 2.5 goals at 10/11 against our 10/11.